President George W. Bush says to Senator John Kerry, "What's mine is mine, what's yours is negotiable."
RCP says: Bush 291 - Kerry 221 (26 up for grabs)
EP says: Bush 295 - Kerry 243
EV says: Bush 280 - Kerry 234 (24 up for grabs)
Sabato says: Bush 284 - Kerry 254
Rasmussen says: Bush 213 - Kerry 211 (114 up for grabs)
MyDD says: Bush 291 - Kerry 247
VP says: Bush 302 - Kerry 236
CNN says: Bush 274 - Kerry 264
PBS says: Bush 278 - Kerry 260
I say: Bush 312 - Kerry 226
DOWNDATE: Post links and I'll update accordingly.
I don't have the numbers but Dick Morris recently told some "loud-mouthed-talk-show-host-who-loves-the-sound-of-his-voice-too-much" (not Rush) that he thought Bush might well get over 300, too.
Admittedly, more recently (perhaps Friday) he did tell the same host maybe not by 300 anymore, but still decisive.
In any case, I think you are right on!
Posted by: Tom_with_a_dream at 01:14 PM